An evidence-based strategy to screen for pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Clinical practice guidelines recommend screening all systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) with yearly echocardiograms. There is a paucity of evidence to support these guidelines. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can a prediction model identify SSc patients with a very low probability of PAH and therefore not requiring annual screening echocardiogram? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a case-control study of 925 unselected SSc subjects nested in a multi-centered, longitudinal cohort. The probability of PAH for each subject was calculated using the results of multivariate logistic regression models. A cut-off was identified for the estimated probability of PAH below which no subject developed PAH (100% sensitivity). RESULTS: Study subjects were predominantly female (87.5%), with mean (SD) age 58.6 (11.7) years and disease duration of 18.2 (12.2) years. Thirty-seven subjects developed PAH during 5407.97 person-years of observation (incidence rate 0.68 per 100 person-years). Shortness of breath (SOB), diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) and NT-proBNP were independent predictors of PAH. All SSc-PAH cases had a probability of PAH of >1.1%. Subjects below this cut-off, none of whom had PAH, accounted for 46.2% of the study population. INTERPRETATION: A simple prediction model identified subjects at very low probability of PAH who could potentially forego annual screening echocardiogram. This represents almost half of SSc subjects in a general SSc population. This study, which is the first evidence-based study for the rational use of follow-up echocardiograms in an unselected SSc cohort, requires validation. The scoring system is freely available online at http://pahtool.ladydavis.ca.

Elder and caregiver solutions to improve medication adherence.

Medication mismanagement is a growing public health concern, especially among elders. Annually, it is a major contributor to emergency hospitalization and nursing home placement. Elders and their caregivers, as healthcare consumers and stakeholders in this issue, are uniquely qualified to inform strategies to improve medication adherence. We conducted a qualitative study to ascertain caregiver and elder perceptions of barriers to medication management and to identify community-derived solutions to improve medication management. Nine focus groups (N = 65, mean age = 71) were conducted with caregivers or elders from five communities. Participants were recruited by key informants utilizing snowball sampling methodology. The following themes were identified in the participant-recommended proposed solutions improving medication adherence: (i) use of personal systems to overcome barriers to medication adherence, (ii) various solutions to address cost concerns, (iii) the need for regular review of medications by doctors or pharmacists to eliminate unnecessary medications, (iv) desire for community-driven support systems, and (v) using medical advocates. Elders and caregivers recognized medication non-adherence as a community-wide issue and were eager to offer solutions they thought would work in their communities. These solutions can lend credibility to strategies currently being developed/utilized and offer innovative recommendations for future interventions.

Why has the Ebola outbreak in West Africa been so challenging to control?

West Africa is in the midst of the largest Ebola outbreak ever; there have been over 1000 deaths and many new cases are reported each day. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared it an outbreak in March 2014 and on August 6, 2014 the WHO declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern. Based on the number of deaths and total number of cases reported to the WHO as of August 11, 2014, the current outbreak has an overall mortality rate of 55%. Outbreak control measures against Ebola virus disease are effective. Why then, has this outbreak been so challenging to control? Ebola is transmitted through bodily fluids and immediately attacks the immune system, then progressively attacks the major organs and the lining of blood vessels. Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia are small countries that have limited resources to respond to prolonged outbreaks, especially in rural areas. This has been made more challenging by the fact that health care workers are at risk of contracting Ebola virus disease. Treatment to date has been supportive, not curative and outbreak control strategies have been met with distrust due to fear and misinformation. However, important progress is being made. The international response to Ebola is gaining momentum, communication strategies have been developed to address the fear and mistrust, and promising treatments are under development, including a combination of three monoclonal antibodies that has been administered to two American Ebola infected health care workers. The National Microbiology Laboratory of the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) has been supporting laboratory diagnostic efforts in West Africa and PHAC has been working with the provinces and territories and key stakeholders to ensure Canada is prepared for a potential Ebola importation.